No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $94.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.75
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.15
Polymarket Trader
412341
@__shahzaibLOL
0xfa4b6978976cec151ddddb8140381b1722c257a9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $100.72
- Realized PnL
- $132.74
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $4.45
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.55
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$4.05
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $2.06
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.53
Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.94
No position
Doge ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.32
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.95
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.81
No position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.74
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
Yes position
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.24
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Was Trump hacked?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year in the 2024 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 99.4% 100.6 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.5% 100 shares
- Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No 99.9% 209.2 shares
- Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No 95.7% 209.2 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 93.3% 4.29 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 78% 7.13 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 95% 178.95 shares
- Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes 64.3% 17.11 shares
- Cardano ETF in 2025?Yes 69% 15.94 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No 97.6% 108.79 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No 95% 52.63 shares
- Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?No 83% 36.14 shares