Polymarket Trader

0xFA6492546b13E7b40c84868d2466aa2093AE7E3D-1769774917991

0xfa6492546b13e7b40c84868d2466aa2093ae7e3d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $385.28
Realized PnL: $372.62
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $352.47
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $669.48
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $22.47

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $2.74
Potential payout: $130.43
Potential profit: $127.7
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$0.26

No position

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.12
Potential profit: $82.12
User PnL: -$55.77

No position

Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.39
Potential profit: $76.39
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.11
Potential profit: $68.11
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.62
Potential profit: $65.62
User PnL: -$37

No position

Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.14
Potential profit: $64.14
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.58
Potential profit: $62.58
User PnL: -$51.94

No position

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $17.33
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $16
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $30.72
Potential profit: $30.03
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$1.31

No position

Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.7
Potential profit: $30.7
User PnL: -$18.21

Yes position

Algeria leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.3
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.74
Potential profit: $12.74
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $10.06
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $9.01
Potential profit: $7.91
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.64
Potential profit: $8.64
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $5.81
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $2.67
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $2.08
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $1.69
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.96

No position

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.74

No position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.52

No position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.64

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.18

No position

Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.24

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.24

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.15

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.02

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.6

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.45

No position

Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.09

No position

Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.93

No position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $5.65

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.21

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61

No position

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02

No position

Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $3.98

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.72

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 99.9% 550.16 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 99.3% 342.4 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 99% 202.02 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 87% 5.75 shares
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?

No 32.7% 918.5 shares
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?

No 99.5% 806.01 shares
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?

No 29% 103.45 shares
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?

Yes 18% 17.64 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

No 34% 10 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Yes 1.3% 4.21 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Yes 3.5% 48.42 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 0.3% 100 shares