No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
Blekie
0xfa70b66ca3f1889138d5d43fce1ba288344c201b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.33
- Realized PnL
- $104.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.89
- Potential profit
- $208.89
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will between 16 and 19 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $188.45
- Potential profit
- $188.45
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the Brown University shooter not be arrested in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 22?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in December?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.69
- Potential profit
- $14.69
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Exponent launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $12.71
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$3.82
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $13.51
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Luke Humphries win the PDC World Darts Championship?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $13.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $1.97
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $11.18
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.03
Yes position
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $12.99
- Potential profit
- $12.04
- Multiplier
- 13.70x
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in December?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will it Snow in New York City this December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.38
- Potential profit
- $9.38
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $2.23
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $6.86
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Joep Wennemars (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.85
- Potential profit
- $8.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.35
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 12?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.77
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
GPT ads by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 18?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
Yes position
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Yes position
Will Marijke Groenewoud (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98
Cloud9 position
LoL: Cloud9 vs Gen.G (BO1)
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 21?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
No position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
Yes position
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.93
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes 45.1% 5.1 shares
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.1% 71.42 shares
- Will Spain record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes 99.5% 1.85 shares
- Will Marijke Groenewoud (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes 42.7% 7.03 shares
- Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes 53% 3.77 shares
- Will Joep Wennemars (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes 11.3% 8.85 shares
- Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes 40% 5 shares
- Will Spain record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes 54% 1.85 shares
- Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes 58.8% 5.1 shares
- Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes 30% 6.67 shares
- Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes 52% 3.85 shares
- Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 94% 27.27 shares