No position
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $633
- Potential profit
- $633
- User PnL
- -$177.24
Polymarket Trader
MatthewJones4280
0xfa7134c08f7721677dcad83faaace2bf4f5b9767
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $245.61
- Realized PnL
- $721.34
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $98.02
- Potential payout
- $338
- Potential profit
- $239.98
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$162.24
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $80.74
- Potential payout
- $241
- Potential profit
- $160.27
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$56.63
No position
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $57.51
- Potential payout
- $81
- Potential profit
- $23.49
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $38.88
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78
- Potential profit
- $78
- User PnL
- -$37.38
No position
US strikes Nigeria by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $32
- User PnL
- -$29.47
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.59
- Potential profit
- $23.59
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Yes position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $19
- User PnL
- -$6.27
Yes position
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- -$1.98
No position
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Snapchat acquired in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.11
- Potential profit
- $4.11
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $3.88
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 3?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will 01A1 have a #1 AI model this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.54
- Potential profit
- $3.54
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 8.93x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Anthropic IPO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the Sacramento Kings win more than 32.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $98.34
No position
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.59
Yes position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.78
No position
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 55%
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $50.53
Yes position
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.23
Yes position
Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.75
Yes position
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.62
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Multiplier
- 19.61x
- User PnL
- $33.52
Yes position
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.78
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.4
Yes position
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $24.11
Yes position
mert mindshare all time high by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.96
Yes position
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.06
Yes position
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.2
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.43
No position
Stripe IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $18.54
Yes position
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.3
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.35
No position
Will Bryan Johnson say "Longevity Score" while tripping balls?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.95
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.97
No position
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.4
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.36
Yes position
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.33
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $14.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes 28% 104 shares
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No 66% 8 shares
- Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?No 60% 20 shares
- Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?No 92% 165 shares
- Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?No 28% 633 shares
- Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?No 74% 117 shares
- Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?No 75% 117 shares
- Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?No 27% 489 shares
- Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?No 25% 489 shares
- Cerebras IPO before 2027?No 28% 38 shares
- Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?No 86% 151 shares
- Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?No 23% 324 shares