Polymarket Trader

jwd103103

0xfa7e25c8df8d4f36e5a87731ba2b91540046f37e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.91K
Realized PnL: $9.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $270.66
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $241.11

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $82.24
Potential payout: $640
Potential profit: $557.76
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $11.28

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $32.73
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $517.28
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $4.43

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $19.75
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $480.25
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $73.8
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $286.2
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $26.5

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.94
Potential payout: $228
Potential profit: $226.06
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.78

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $164.3
Potential payout: $212
Potential profit: $47.7
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $35.67

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $9.45
Potential payout: $203.28
Potential profit: $193.83
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $8.58
Potential payout: $201.93
Potential profit: $193.35
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $155.03
Potential payout: $200.04
Potential profit: $45.01
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $72.42

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $196.7
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $19.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $180.7
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: $8.23

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $2.39
Potential payout: $190.91
Potential profit: $188.52
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $4.29
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $170.71
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $9.43
Potential payout: $174.65
Potential profit: $165.22
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $3.18
Potential payout: $172
Potential profit: $168.81
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $27.68
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $122.33
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $10.2
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $139.8
Multiplier: 14.71x
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $10.35
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $139.65
Multiplier: 14.49x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Sweden be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $29.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $120.75
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $35.25
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $114.74
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $10.75

Yes position

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $132.68
Potential payout: $145
Potential profit: $12.32
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $29.93

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $9.86
Potential payout: $140.01
Potential profit: $130.15
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: $5.41

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8.9%
Current value: $12
Potential payout: $134.84
Potential profit: $122.84
Multiplier: 11.24x
User PnL: -$3.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52K

No position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the European Union before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83K

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31K

Yes position

Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $930.13

Yes position

Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.15

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.17

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.92

Yes position

Will England win the UEFA Women's Euro?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.7

Yes position

Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-08?

Ends May 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.23

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.42

Yes position

Will the next reconciliation bill be passed between July 1 and July 6?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.38

No position

FIFA Club World Cup: Will Vinicius Junior score another goal?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.15

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.24

No position

Will India invade Pakistan before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.08

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.75

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.25

Yes position

Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $55M?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.17

No position

US-EU trade agreement by July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.5

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.67

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.25

Yes position

Will Solana reach $160 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.12

No position

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $90.31

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.54

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

No 44% 56.82 shares
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5

Over 17% 50 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 48% 52.08 shares
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score

Yes 21% 10 shares
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5

Over 33% 50 shares
Will Sweden be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Yes 20% 50 shares
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2026?

Yes 4.5% 1,113.92 shares
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 69% 30 shares
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 43% 74.99 shares
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?

No 82% 120.07 shares
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)

Sweden 30% 10 shares
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)

Sweden 14% 40 shares