Polymarket Trader

Xllion

0xfa82c85afc1b1d5effbdb72b8761060d8aa30543

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $294.13
Realized PnL: -$37.54
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $79.74
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$10.26

No position

US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $233.37
Potential profit: $233.14
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$9.77

No position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 41.9%
Current value: $75.73
Potential payout: $180.73
Potential profit: $105.01
Multiplier: 2.39x
User PnL: $25.73

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $34.77
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $116.74
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $4.77

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $103.66
Potential payout: $136.4
Potential profit: $32.74
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $3.66

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

Thunder position

Magic vs. Thunder

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

New Pope in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Clippers position

Cavaliers vs. Clippers

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-3.5)

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 27.7% 180.73 shares
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?

No 73.3% 136.4 shares
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

No 4.3% 233.37 shares
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)

Argentina 21% 123.81 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.8% 151.52 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 1,578.95 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?

No 98.2% 4.18 shares
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?

No 78.2% 1.66 shares
Magic vs. Thunder

Thunder 71% 4.23 shares
Cavaliers vs. Clippers

Clippers 47.1% 10.63 shares
New Pope in 2025?

Yes 71% 2.82 shares
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Yes 96.9% 5.16 shares