Polymarket Trader

tipop

0xfa941cf0122420025d64e2151a3e1c489a1276ea

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.4
Realized PnL: $295.92
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $630.07
Potential profit: $630.07
User PnL: -$10.8

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $220
User PnL: -$5.72

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $210
User PnL: -$7.98

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $210
User PnL: -$6.09

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.99
Potential profit: $209.99
User PnL: -$6.93

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.86
Potential profit: $138.86
User PnL: -$88.87

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$38.2

No position

Will Solana dip to $180 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.57
Potential profit: $50.57
User PnL: -$44

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $21.4
Potential payout: $46.51
Potential profit: $25.12
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.28
Potential profit: $35.28
User PnL: -$30.69

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.54
Potential profit: $10.54
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump issue 150-199 executive orders in first week?

Ends Jan 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.72

No position

Trump x Epstein files made public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.65

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160 or more times on Truth Social from Feb 14-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

No position

Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 50.0% and 50.4% on February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,300 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.87

No position

Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.92

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2100 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.27

Yes position

Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

No position

Will Solana dip to $120 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

Yes position

Ripple above $2.15 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

Will Solana reach $185 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.17

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.42

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.22

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Solana reach $300 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

No position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.92

No position

Will Solana dip to $150 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.92

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4700 in August?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

No position

Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

No 43% 46.51 shares
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

No 1.7% 230.07 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 19% 10.53 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 35% 41.66 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 44% 20.83 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 24% 20.83 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 64% 138.86 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

No 99% 90.62 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

No 64% 90.63 shares
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

No 91.5% 57.92 shares
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 79.7% 106.51 shares