Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $18.25
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$31.75
Polymarket Trader
0xfA96fF0ff2FF8F7338BA07fBfad6B2Bca93062a3-1763754129044
0xfa96ff0ff2ff8f7338ba07fbfad6b2bca93062a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $108.4
- Realized PnL
- $361.36
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $342.89
- Potential profit
- $342.38
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$199.48
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $70
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $215.71
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.16
- Potential profit
- $142.16
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.72
- Potential profit
- $102.72
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.77
- Potential profit
- $72.77
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.95
- Potential profit
- $29.95
- User PnL
- -$8.32
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.83
- Potential profit
- $27.83
- User PnL
- -$25.01
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $8.8
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $12.93
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $10.83
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.04
Yes position
GPT ads by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.37
Yes position
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.52
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.13
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.23
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.15
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.03
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.82
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.15
Down position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 28?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.09
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.66
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $3.67
Up position
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65
Yes position
Will Shayne say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during 60 Minutes?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Yes position
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 8+ at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 18% 83.33 shares
- GPT ads by March 31?Yes 35% 57.14 shares
- GPT ads by December 31?Yes 5.5% 90.4 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 1.6% 220.37 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes 76% 111.61 shares
- Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes 86% 1.16 shares
- GPT ads by March 31?Yes 31% 16.13 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k 44% 34.09 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k 43% 23.26 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes 71.8% 34.82 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes 79% 6.33 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes 16% 27.81 shares