Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $14.69
- Potential payout
- $386.51
- Potential profit
- $371.82
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$4.28
Polymarket Trader
morphweather
0xfa99822c8b1e84a29b0ddef3eefa914364b729af
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $191.68
- Realized PnL
- $523.61
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $266.66
- Potential profit
- $266.66
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $266.63
- Potential profit
- $266.63
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $40.44
- Potential payout
- $231.11
- Potential profit
- $190.67
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $4.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $16.73
- Potential payout
- $214.54
- Potential profit
- $197.8
- Multiplier
- 12.82x
- User PnL
- -$20.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.4
- Potential profit
- $171.4
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $141.16
- Potential profit
- $141.16
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.28
- Potential profit
- $114.28
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $39.99
- Potential payout
- $88.86
- Potential profit
- $48.87
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $55.08
- Potential payout
- $77.58
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $7.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$18.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.58
- Potential profit
- $70.58
- User PnL
- -$24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.14
- Potential profit
- $57.14
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.05
- Potential profit
- $54.05
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.16
- Potential profit
- $52.16
- User PnL
- -$23.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $24.75
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $25.25
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.35
- Potential profit
- $39.35
- User PnL
- -$6.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.28
- Potential profit
- $34.28
- User PnL
- -$24
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.57
- Potential profit
- $31.57
- User PnL
- -$23.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.98
- Potential profit
- $28.98
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?Yes 15.6% 231.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 20?Yes 4.9% 386.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?Yes 17.1% 214.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?No 64.9% 36.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?No 65% 1.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16?No 45.2% 51.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 16?Yes 21% 22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13?No 40% 50.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13?Yes 34% 70.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?Yes 38% 43.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?Yes 40% 35.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10?No 42.3% 54.54 shares