Polymarket Trader

0xFa9e09F12E0eA83569eA92bBFcC2a7908D7bB529-1772563870649

0xfa9e09f12e0ea83569ea92bbfcc2a7908d7bb529

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.96K
Realized PnL: $580.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $421.98
Potential payout: $3.36K
Potential profit: $2.94K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $504.21
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.45K
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: $86.42

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $606.22
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $60.94

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $545.77
Potential payout: $645.88
Potential profit: $100.11
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$15.24

Yes position

Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $223.24
Potential payout: $450.98
Potential profit: $227.75
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$6.76

Yes position

Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $41.22
Potential payout: $81.63
Potential profit: $40.41
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $19.14
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $38
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $19.31
Potential payout: $55.25
Potential profit: $35.94
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $19.81
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $18.65
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $18.79
Potential payout: $30.31
Potential profit: $11.52
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.37
Potential profit: $19.37
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.15
Potential profit: $19.15
User PnL: -$11.3

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.03

No position

Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.47

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.23

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.37

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.98

No position

Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.63

No position

Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.39

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.07

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.98

No position

Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.17

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.84

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.32

No position

Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.36

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.28

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.52

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 82% 620.54 shares
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 66% 30.3 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.7% 534.76 shares
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 87% 1,034.83 shares
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 86.4% 231.58 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 540.57 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 270.27 shares
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 51% 196.08 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.5% 2,400 shares
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 66% 212.12 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.5% 80 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 36.2% 55.25 shares