Polymarket Trader

PLfarmer

@simosini

0xfaa55858f098040003978c3615a086cdd0cd7cc9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $42.17K
Realized PnL: $78.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $26.59K
Potential payout: $30.13K
Potential profit: $3.54K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$121.84

No position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $1.91K
Potential payout: $4.71K
Potential profit: $2.8K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$305.96

No position

Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $3.52K
Potential payout: $3.89K
Potential profit: $369.3
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $2.89K
Potential profit: $968.18
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $273.89

No position

Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $1.73K
Potential payout: $2.73K
Potential profit: $995.52
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $231.83

No position

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $769.99
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $546.83
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$107.17

Yes position

Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $1.68K
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $146.39
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $531.36

No position

Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $200.05
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $62.09

No position

Will South Korea reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $144.34
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $55.62

No position

Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$660.07

No position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $91.08
Potential payout: $792
Potential profit: $700.92
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$43.56

No position

Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $119.91
Potential payout: $666.16
Potential profit: $546.25
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$54.31

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $394.35
Potential payout: $641.22
Potential profit: $246.87
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $3.21

Yes position

Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $245.24
Potential payout: $405.35
Potential profit: $160.11
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$26.05

No position

Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $151.87
Potential payout: $341.27
Potential profit: $189.4
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $25.6

No position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $294.95
Potential profit: $294.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$129.63

No position

Tunisia vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $149.93
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $62.93

No position

Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $73
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $27
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $71.99
Potential profit: $71.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$25.88

No position

Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $71.42
Potential profit: $71.31
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$10.61

No position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $36.87
Potential payout: $51.56
Potential profit: $14.7
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71K

No position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.18K

Yes position

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.83K

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8K

No position

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79K

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.66K

No position

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14K

No position

Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98K

No position

Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-01?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.57K

No position

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02K

No position

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82K

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68K

No position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54K

No position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44K

No position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38K

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38K

Bucks position

Bucks vs. Bulls

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38K

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34K

No position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34K

No position

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.33K

Yes position

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23K

No position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19K

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17K

No position

Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Leroy Sané: 1+ goals

No 76% 17.84 shares
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 27% 102.23 shares
Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals

No 66% 11.72 shares
Will South Korea reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 85% 226.01 shares
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Yes 66.9% 405.35 shares
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals

No 74% 106.83 shares
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals

No 55% 10.63 shares
Ricardo Pepi: 1+ goals

No 67% 5.47 shares
Raphinha: 1+ goals

No 51% 49 shares
Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 55% 2,727.46 shares
Adam Hložek: 1+ goals

No 79% 15 shares
Patrik Schick: 1+ goals

No 63% 38.14 shares