Polymarket Trader

mawk77

0xfaae04d9bc15dc68db0d7022677df54c3387907e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.29K
Realized PnL: $2.43K
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $38.89
Potential payout: $11.11K
Potential profit: $11.07K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$61.1

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $123.17
Potential payout: $2.44K
Potential profit: $2.32K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $23.17

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $414.04
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$85.95

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $228
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $972
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$72

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: Other

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $7.03
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.97

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $521.34
Potential profit: $521.34
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $483.63
Potential payout: $483.87
Potential profit: $0.24
User PnL: $183.63

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.04
Potential profit: $216.04
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94K

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $928.57

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.83

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $224.58

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.01

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.27

Yes position

Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.69

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.56

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.16

Yes position

Will Trump say "Stroke" during his announcement on September 2?

Ends Sep 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump say "Golf" during his announcement on September 2?

Ends Sep 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.86

Yes position

Will Davis Thompson win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$27.86

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$28.46

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$82.6

Yes position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$94.77

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$99.1

Yes position

Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

No position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?

Ends Apr 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$140.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 33% 822.83 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

No 23% 357.14 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 11,111.11 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.1% 2,439.02 shares
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.1% 5,233.09 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 25% 1,200 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

No 2.9% 3,160.4 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

No 3.2% 3,160.41 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 36.5% 822.84 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 48.1% 1,714.28 shares
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?

Yes 1.9% 521.34 shares
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?

Yes 2% 4,267.49 shares