No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $189.27
- Potential payout
- $250.69
- Potential profit
- $61.42
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $95.41
Polymarket Trader
TimoTao
0xfac0cba410d5d2bda360b74b8cbf51241ff7fdd8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $343.39
- Realized PnL
- $582.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $24.61
- Potential payout
- $234.36
- Potential profit
- $209.75
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.06
Yes position
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.3
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $181
- Potential profit
- $180.91
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $173
- Potential profit
- $172.05
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $18.17
- Potential payout
- $158
- Potential profit
- $139.83
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $152.5
- Potential profit
- $152.42
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
James Norton announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $152
- Potential profit
- $151.32
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $136.71
- Potential profit
- $131.72
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$3.21
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $4.08
- Potential payout
- $136.13
- Potential profit
- $132.05
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.66
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $11.88
- Potential payout
- $125.04
- Potential profit
- $113.16
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$6.88
Yes position
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $2.36
- Potential payout
- $121
- Potential profit
- $118.64
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$6.11
Yes position
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $116.75
- Potential profit
- $116.46
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.13
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $41.58
- Potential payout
- $110.01
- Potential profit
- $68.43
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- $2.18
Yes position
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.85
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $4.45
- Potential payout
- $98.9
- Potential profit
- $94.45
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.45
Yes position
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $22.93
- Potential payout
- $86.54
- Potential profit
- $63.61
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $3.79
- Potential payout
- $84.25
- Potential profit
- $80.46
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$5.48
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $5.46
- Potential payout
- $83.34
- Potential profit
- $77.88
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $3.54
- Potential payout
- $78.69
- Potential profit
- $75.15
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$5.9
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $69
- Potential profit
- $68.9
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $68.56
- Potential profit
- $67.98
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $2.59
- Potential payout
- $54.55
- Potential profit
- $51.96
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.23
No position
BitBoy convicted?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.33
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.15
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.99
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.69
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.57
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.91
No position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.46
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.86
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.45
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.25
Team Spirit position
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.62
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.3
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.48
BetBoom Team position
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.33
Power Rangers position
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.32
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.15
Flyers position
Flyers vs. Devils
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Xtreme Gaming position
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.47
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.44
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
Flyers position
Flyers vs. Islanders
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.91
Blue Jackets position
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69
Blackhawks position
Blackhawks vs. Kraken
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes 85% 5 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 78.69 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 6% 136.71 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes 71.7% 43.41 shares
- Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 58% 36.32 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 25.8% 44.85 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 98.9 shares
- Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?Yes 7% 121 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 37% 37.61 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 10% 699.1 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 14% 371.2 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes 79% 53.57 shares