Polymarket Trader

fdamian

0xfac290df1d02920049082e34d211135d9eeff35f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $321.06
Realized PnL: $2.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $58.66
Potential payout: $617.5
Potential profit: $558.84
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$40.73

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$14.7

No position

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $89
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $11
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.21
Potential profit: $51.21
User PnL: -$32

Andre Lima position

UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $39.76
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $7.86
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Will the White House Press Secretary say "Democrat" 3+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$37.2

No position

Will the White House Press Secretary say "President" 40+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$35.2

No position

Will the White House Press Secretary say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$30

No position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $39.99
User PnL: -$12.4

No position

Will the White House Press Secretary say "Administration" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $39.99
User PnL: -$37.59

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $32.47
Potential payout: $37.97
Potential profit: $5.51
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

o1 FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $31.3
Potential payout: $32.61
Potential profit: $1.3
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will Trump say "White House" during UFC 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 47.8%
Current value: $15.22
Potential payout: $31.88
Potential profit: $16.66
Multiplier: 2.09x
User PnL: -$14.78

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $30.26
Potential payout: $30.93
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Seoul have less than 100mm of precipitation in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 61.8%
Current value: $18.52
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $11.47
Multiplier: 1.62x
User PnL: -$10.27

No position

Will the White House Press Secretary say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.98
Potential profit: $29.98
User PnL: -$23.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,500 and $7,600 on May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$2.73

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $5.85
Potential payout: $20.55
Potential profit: $14.69
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$9.15

No position

Will the White House Press Secretary say "Congress" during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$17.6

Team Liquid position

LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Vivo Keyd Stars position

LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.99

No position

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.01

Yes position

Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.49

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.69

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.72

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Sinners position

Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs Sinners (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.38

100 Thieves position

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)

Andre Lima 84% 47.62 shares
o1 FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Yes 92% 32.61 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

No 97% 30.93 shares
Will Trump say "White House" during UFC 250?

No 94.1% 31.88 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 79% 37.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Up 67% 44.78 shares
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 98.6% 50.87 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

No 87% 125 shares
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 98.3% 50.87 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

No 80% 125 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Down 99% 101.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Up 12% 83.33 shares