Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $35.56K
- Potential payout
- $35.61K
- Potential profit
- $53.42
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Polymarket Trader
0x79a009b7C0336273Bf3Bc7E1D940aD3e2152B9
0xfacd5eb6566d469f71fb42415177c74eb27d9109
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $121.66K
- Realized PnL
- $94.96K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $30.86K
- Potential payout
- $32.77K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $843.9
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $16.12K
- Potential payout
- $16.84K
- Potential profit
- $724.22
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $662.34
Yes position
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.84K
- Potential profit
- $9.84K
- User PnL
- -$98.43
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $2.74K
- Potential payout
- $8.97K
- Potential profit
- $6.23K
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $3.8K
- Potential payout
- $7.31K
- Potential profit
- $3.51K
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $654.31
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.61K
- Potential profit
- $6.61K
- User PnL
- -$753.74
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $5.25K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $750
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $5.13K
- Potential payout
- $5.4K
- Potential profit
- $272.69
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $580.71
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $3.99K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- $674
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $3.97K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $26
- User PnL
- $574
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $3.99K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- $350
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.2%
- Current value
- $968
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.03K
- Multiplier
- 4.13x
- User PnL
- -$568
Yes position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $61.81
- Potential payout
- $3.02K
- Potential profit
- $2.95K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$470.78
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $1.69K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$415.3
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $2.98K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- User PnL
- $627.5
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $2.97K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $25.5
- User PnL
- $61.5
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- User PnL
- -$1.4K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$431.99
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $658.18
- Potential payout
- $802.66
- Potential profit
- $144.48
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $142.49
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $605.71
- Potential payout
- $608.44
- Potential profit
- $2.74
- User PnL
- $18.45
No position
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $266.7
- Potential payout
- $420
- Potential profit
- $153.3
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$77.7
No position
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.18
- Potential profit
- $189.18
- User PnL
- -$126.75
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $51.2
- Potential payout
- $52.28
- Potential profit
- $1.07
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.06K
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.63K
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.35K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58K
No position
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36K
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08K
No position
Starmer out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
No position
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58K
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
Chicago State Cougars position
Spread: Stonehill Skyhawks (-5.5)
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
No position
Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
Will the fight go the distance?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
No position
Harry & Meghan divorce in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $970.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 82% 7,939.76 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 93.9% 1,619.03 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 84.8% 5,000 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 19% 899.66 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes 44% 387.55 shares
- Starmer out by June 15, 2026?Yes 1% 9,842.8 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes 43% 6,875.33 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 18% 2,433.07 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 93.5% 1,159.55 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.3% 19,000 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No 91% 7,735.2 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No 90.1% 6,000 shares