Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.19K
- Potential profit
- $2.19K
- User PnL
- -$1.03K
Polymarket Trader
Arcanedrifto
0xfacf94b4300d5fd284156d87d6ec6dbc7500cde0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.94
- Realized PnL
- $12.99
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $18.94
- Potential payout
- $20.93
- Potential profit
- $1.99
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.04
No position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$16.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 86% 20.93 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Yes 47% 2,191.49 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.4% 464.86 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 464.86 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 53% 166.66 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 63% 166.67 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?No 99% 7.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 23?Yes 31% 23.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 23?Yes 28% 17.9 shares