Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $805.63
- Potential profit
- $805.63
- User PnL
- -$10.61
Polymarket Trader
lhy260312
0xfacfc703253de06a4f08b7245e3093ba0d011b2e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $59.51
- Realized PnL
- $149.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $2.61
- Potential payout
- $173.78
- Potential profit
- $171.17
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.39
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $75.91
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $10.42
- Potential payout
- $84.34
- Potential profit
- $73.92
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.85
- Potential profit
- $47.85
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $29.4
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $5.6
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.39
- Potential profit
- $33.39
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1.01
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Tom Kim win the 2026 John Deere Classic?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $24.39
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will ÍF Vestri win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.65
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $18.87
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.14
- Potential profit
- $18.14
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.68
- Potential profit
- $17.68
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.58
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Beijing Guoan FC 3 - 2 Shandong Taishan FC?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.44
- Potential profit
- $14.44
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.37
- Potential profit
- $12.37
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: FC Anyang 1 - 2 Pohang Steelers FC?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.91
- Potential profit
- $10.91
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.48
- Potential profit
- $10.48
- User PnL
- -$4.91
Yes position
Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.35
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.11
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Qingdao Xihaian FC 2 - 1 Shanghai Haigang FC?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Will Chicago Stars FC win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9PM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETDown 9% 111.11 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9PM ETDown 96.6% 8.92 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9PM ETDown 56% 8.93 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETUp 54% 7.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETUp 66% 7.58 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETUp 14% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETUp 13% 10 shares
- Dogecoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETUp 55% 12.5 shares
- Dogecoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETUp 40% 12.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETUp 1% 45.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETUp 11% 45.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETDown 56.7% 18.93 shares