Polymarket Trader

MuchAdo2BRN2B

0xfad4fb17d54b6d600d6cc912d433e73c252ca210

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $205
Realized PnL: $29.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.9K
Potential profit: $53.9K
User PnL: -$3.9K

Yes position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.62K
Potential profit: $21.62K
User PnL: -$2.1K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Dobropillia by November 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.12K
Potential profit: $7.12K
User PnL: -$515.93

Yes position

Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.48K
Potential profit: $6.48K
User PnL: -$1.34K

Yes position

Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.7K
Potential profit: $4.7K
User PnL: -$1.37K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.82K
Potential profit: $2.82K
User PnL: -$212.24

Yes position

Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $2.41K
User PnL: -$1.04K

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $2.26K
User PnL: -$594.73

No position

Will Russia enter Huliaipole by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.22K
User PnL: -$6.1

Yes position

Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $2.05K
User PnL: -$332.64

Yes position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.94K
User PnL: -$822.89

Yes position

Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $1.79K
User PnL: -$595.33

Yes position

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $205
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$96.59

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.53K
User PnL: -$482.57

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 27?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$635.04

Yes position

Will Russia enter Bilytske by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$349.87

Yes position

Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $954.99
Potential profit: $954.99
User PnL: -$63.85

Yes position

Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $929.11
Potential profit: $929.11
User PnL: -$37.95

Yes position

Will Russia enter Orikhiv by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $867.98
Potential profit: $867.98
User PnL: -$179.39

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $820.38
Potential profit: $820.38
User PnL: -$245.76

Yes position

Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $734.97
Potential profit: $734.97
User PnL: -$93.26

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $712.61
Potential profit: $712.61
User PnL: -$18.9

Yes position

Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $706.57
Potential profit: $706.57
User PnL: -$203.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.38K

Yes position

Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73K

Yes position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77K

Yes position

Will Trump win 7 swing states?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump sign 30 or more executive orders in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

Will Trump do better with Asians than in 2020?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $979.6

No position

Kamala Harris blowout victory?

Ends Dec 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $924.4

No position

Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $825

No position

Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $794.3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $737.7

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $682.54

Yes position

Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $622.29

No position

Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $545.69

Yes position

Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $537.93

Yes position

Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $496.86

Yes position

Will DOGE cut $1B from USAID before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $471.6

No position

Will Kamala get more votes than Biden?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450.61

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $427.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?

No 93% 17 shares
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by May 31?

No 90% 28.88 shares
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

Yes 17% 620 shares
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?

Yes 26% 5 shares
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?

Yes 5% 655 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 92% 50 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 99.3% 130 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?

No 96.7% 40 shares
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes 67% 10 shares
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

No 77% 19.63 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 25% 20 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 98.1% 100 shares