Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $294.82
- Potential payout
- $487.31
- Potential profit
- $192.49
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$5.18
Polymarket Trader
rawrx3
0xfadd3d5c4c247179ab05ae010fc67759afe629b5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $294.82
- Realized PnL
- -$512.96
- Win rate
- 41.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.72
- Potential profit
- $22.72
- User PnL
- -$11.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.39
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.38
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 20?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 19?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$15.67
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.75
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34.03
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$131.79
No position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$526.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETUp 28% 17.86 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes 61.6% 487.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETUp 29% 6.9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETDown 48% 10.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETUp 4% 4.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETUp 4% 21.54 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETUp 13% 6.73 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETDown 43% 2.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETDown 46% 2.11 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETDown 51% 9.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETDown 57% 8.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETUp 99% 20 shares