No position
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $39.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $960.5
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $27.5
Polymarket Trader
0xfAe64c40781D52664265C24a0Ea6262c35434F84-1761237990786
0xfae64c40781d52664265c24a0ea6262c35434f84
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.73
- Realized PnL
- -$27.4
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.75
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $10.98
- Potential payout
- $62.72
- Potential profit
- $51.74
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Blue Jays position
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Blue Jays position
Blue Jays vs. Dodgers
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will the Blue Jays beat the Dodgers 4-0
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Blue Jays beat the Dodgers 4-1
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Blue Jays position
Blue Jays vs. Dodgers
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Blue Jays position
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 16% 54.47 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 3.8% 100 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes 32% 50 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes 12% 50 shares
- Will the Blue Jays beat the Dodgers 4-0Yes 3.8% 26.32 shares
- Will the Blue Jays beat the Dodgers 4-1Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Dodgers vs. Blue JaysBlue Jays 46% 2.17 shares
- Blue Jays vs. DodgersBlue Jays 39% 2.56 shares
- Blue Jays vs. DodgersBlue Jays 44% 2.27 shares
- Dodgers vs. Blue JaysBlue Jays 43% 2.33 shares
- Dodgers vs. Blue JaysBlue Jays 51% 1.96 shares
- Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?Yes 32% 78.13 shares