Polymarket Trader

0xFAedF3Fd6144E3a7106403d8eB445a0a882A5B4E-1731466856534

0xfaedf3fd6144e3a7106403d8eb445a0a882a5b4e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.09
Realized PnL: $138.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 225–239 times August 22–August 29?

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $56
User PnL: -$5.6

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $25.09
Potential payout: $25.48
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$9.88

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29?

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.84

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.52

No position

Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 16–23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

No position

Will Elon tweet 825-849 times Feb 7-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

No position

Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

No position

Will Elon tweet 270 or more times June 27–July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

No position

Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

No position

Will Elon tweet 275–299 times April 25–May 2?

Ends May 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

No position

Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 14-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

No position

Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

No position

Will Elon tweet 285–299 times August 1–August 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

No position

Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 18–25?

Ends Apr 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

No position

Will Elon tweet 110–124 times May 30–June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Will Elon tweet 550–574 times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.1% 25.48 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

No 99% 22 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 6?

No 92% 7.07 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 12?

No 95.1% 2.63 shares
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 83% 11.9 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Yes 4% 6 shares
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

No 99.9% 60 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?

Yes 12.1% 43.89 shares
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

No 99.9% 40.89 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?

No 94% 30 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 75 million views on day 5?

No 99.9% 69.05 shares
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

No 99.9% 68.98 shares