Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $51.79
- Potential payout
- $916.67
- Potential profit
- $864.88
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$3.21
Polymarket Trader
capitanY
0xfaff4268e5ecc9d3c7b525568753272cfd2e688c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $331.23
- Realized PnL
- $23.17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $91.48
- Potential payout
- $660.49
- Potential profit
- $569.01
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$18.52
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $117.27
- Potential payout
- $606.06
- Potential profit
- $488.79
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $17.27
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $61.2
- Potential payout
- $249.81
- Potential profit
- $188.61
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $8.74
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $9.49
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $137.57
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$40.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.74
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.7% 359.28 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.5% 606.06 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.6% 301.2 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 6% 916.67 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?Yes 46% 21.74 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 34% 147.06 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 21% 249.81 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 84% 71.43 shares