Yes position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.61K
- Potential profit
- $5.61K
- User PnL
- -$239.99
Polymarket Trader
0xFB19cCd344bafCffcF35BFD4922503675770cd27-1750781967348
0xfb19ccd344bafcffcf35bfd4922503675770cd27
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $426.14
- Realized PnL
- $2.78K
- Win rate
- 52.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.93K
- Potential profit
- $2.93K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.82K
- Potential profit
- $2.82K
- User PnL
- -$62.35
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $153.97
- Potential payout
- $2.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.02
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 2?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$190
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 2?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 3?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- User PnL
- -$210
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 3?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$56
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 2?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$74.64
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $882.63
- Potential profit
- $882.63
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $809.92
- Potential profit
- $809.92
- User PnL
- -$105.29
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $769.23
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $753.86
- Potential profit
- $753.86
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $272.17
- Potential payout
- $689.03
- Potential profit
- $416.86
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $172.17
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $636.78
- Potential profit
- $636.78
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $619.84
- Potential profit
- $619.84
- User PnL
- -$49.93
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $532.73
- Potential profit
- $532.73
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 1?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $516.4
- Potential profit
- $516.4
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 1?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $495.05
- Potential profit
- $495.05
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 1?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $710.43
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.77
Yes position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $168.45
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.71
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $115.22
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.08
Yes position
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-14?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.24
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.11
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 8?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.67
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.9
No position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.76
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Yes position
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.86
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$51.8
Yes position
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$70.28
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$78.75
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$85.71
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$93.47
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$118.17
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$128.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes 25% 200 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.5% 200 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.5% 2,392.77 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 20% 500 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 14.5% 689.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 63% 500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 30% 1,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?No 28.4% 176.29 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes 34% 294.41 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 7.7% 649.35 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes 2.9% 1,972.32 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 97.1% 880.85 shares