Polymarket Trader

0xfB248DECDDeC194732598B14BF138Cd20D0CAc2c-1757716556605

0xfb248decddec194732598b14bf138cd20d0cac2c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.7K
Realized PnL: $2.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 19.2%
Current value: $314.23
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 5.22x
User PnL: $63.17

No position

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $283.29
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $59.28

Yes position

Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $449.44
Potential payout: $491.19
Potential profit: $41.75
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$11.85

No position

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $368.6
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $31.4
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$4.6

No position

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $125.49
Potential payout: $141
Potential profit: $15.51
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $131.5
Potential profit: $130.25
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $36.27
Potential payout: $67.16
Potential profit: $30.89
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.31
Potential profit: $58.31
User PnL: -$17.14

Yes position

Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 82.1%
Current value: $45.86
Potential payout: $55.86
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $33.44
Potential payout: $44.59
Potential profit: $11.15
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: -$5.33

Yes position

Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $29.16
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $6.84
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $9.42
Potential payout: $16.98
Potential profit: $7.56
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$0.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $324.02

No position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $225.63

No position

Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189

No position

Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.86

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $154.22

Yes position

Will Matthias Bluebaum vs. Javokhir Sindarov end in a draw?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.56

Yes position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $144

No position

Will Fabiano Caruana vs. Anish Giri end in a draw?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.71

Yes position

Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.53

No position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.91

No position

Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.41

No position

Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.93

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.49

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.08

No position

Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.38

No position

Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.72

Yes position

Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $29.67

No position

Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.02

Yes position

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.28

No position

Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.28

No position

Iran leadership change by March 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

No position

Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.69

No position

Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.71

No position

Will the DHS shutdown end between April 9-12, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?

No 56.5% 16.98 shares
Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?

Yes 55% 67.16 shares
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

No 93.3% 400 shares
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 93.9% 491.19 shares
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?

Yes 82% 36 shares
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

No 16% 610 shares
Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?

Yes 87% 44.59 shares
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?

Yes 80.6% 55.86 shares
Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?

Yes 1.3% 131.5 shares
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

No 88% 141 shares
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

No 83.7% 197 shares
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Yes 15.3% 1,640.9 shares