Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $9.1
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Polymarket Trader
decaflatte
0xfb2c67986a86ab84e705904b308a1b1bc38a6bf7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.36K
- Realized PnL
- $699.82
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $764.62
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $439.51
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $181.43
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $556.09
- Potential profit
- $556.09
- User PnL
- -$35.97
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $122.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $377.75
- Multiplier
- 4.09x
- User PnL
- -$62.75
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $191.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $5.7
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $82.73
- Potential payout
- $122.56
- Potential profit
- $39.83
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$8.57
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Dual Mandate" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $88
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $12
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $34
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $70.49
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $29.5
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Stable" or "Stability" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $32.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $7.4
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $985.16
Yes position
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $497.08
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $212.51
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198
Yes position
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$5.44
Yes position
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.96
Yes position
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$15.7
Yes position
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39
Yes position
Trump out as President in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$66.93
Yes position
TikTok sale announced by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$86.1
No position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$423.39
Yes position
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$806.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Warsh say "Dual Mandate" during June Press Conference?Yes 54% 100 shares
- Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?Yes 74% 62.56 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 53% 704.13 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 77% 200 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 76% 50 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 6.5% 376.1 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 6.4% 179.99 shares
- Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?Yes 52% 10 shares
- Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?Yes 47% 409.27 shares
- Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?Yes 47% 9.99 shares
- Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?Yes 47% 9.99 shares
- Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?Yes 47% 9.99 shares