Polymarket Trader

dragonslayerr

0xfb322fd44d2a278167a0535bd77e2f412877db4a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $100
Realized PnL: $108.99
Win rate: 93.8%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.06
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$3.94

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.9%
Current value: $10.89
Potential payout: $28.74
Potential profit: $17.85
Multiplier: 2.64x
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.43
Potential profit: $26.43
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $9.76
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $14.05
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.62
Potential profit: $20.62
User PnL: -$5

Over position

Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $8.76
Potential payout: $17.17
Potential profit: $8.41
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$1.24

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $14.52
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $4.52

Yes position

Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.95
Potential profit: $13.95
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$5

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $2.99
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 92.4%
Current value: $10.49
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $0.87
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $10.61
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.61

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $7.12
Potential payout: $7.78
Potential profit: $0.66
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $4.67
Potential payout: $7.35
Potential profit: $2.68
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $7.09
Potential payout: $7.23
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $5.62
Potential profit: $0.59
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.04

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.82

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.38

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.86

Yes position

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.21

Yes position

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.74

Yes position

Morocco to score first vs. Canada?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Egypt position

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 24.2% 20.62 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 90% 11.11 shares
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Yes 99.9% 19.23 shares
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Yes 52% 19.23 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

No 77% 12.99 shares
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Yes 88% 11.36 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Yes 58.2% 17.17 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

No 90% 7.78 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 38% 13.16 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 32% 31.25 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 33% 30.3 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 74% 13.51 shares