Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $217.22
- Potential payout
- $511.11
- Potential profit
- $293.89
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$32.78
Polymarket Trader
nicholasflamel
0xfb447c72da8a141aa53497022eeb03530e491482
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $333.69
- Realized PnL
- $1.86K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $12.04
- Potential payout
- $233.81
- Potential profit
- $221.77
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$17.96
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $104.43
- Potential payout
- $126.58
- Potential profit
- $22.15
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $4.43
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.73
- Potential profit
- $96.73
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.83
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.72
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.75
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.79
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.17
Yes position
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.71
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.69
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.64
Yes position
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.62
Alcaraz position
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.27
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.2
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.56
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.72
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.9
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.4
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.94
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.58
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.21
Yes position
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.43
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$10.53
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$19.92
Yes position
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.32
Yes position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 2% 0.15 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 3.5% 658 shares
- Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?Yes 12.8% 233.81 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 15.2% 658.15 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 92.9% 430.41 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 90.3% 134 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo 79% 126.58 shares
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 7.7% 263.15 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 56.4% 177.38 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 59.4% 336.72 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 25.8% 96.73 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 84.9% 304.4 shares