Polymarket Trader

0xf153562ccFb993517c13e64e7679d5bF68F58F6a-1775497211315

0xfb48d2c643c740adf42c54a110dbc28d045e17d7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.68
Realized PnL: $229.69
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.69
Potential profit: $137.69
User PnL: -$10.87

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.95
Potential profit: $86.95
User PnL: -$5.67

No position

Will "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of May 23?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.62
Potential profit: $81.62
User PnL: -$9.54

No position

Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.36
Potential profit: $65.36
User PnL: -$13.01

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $10.64
Potential payout: $64.51
Potential profit: $53.87
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.36
Potential profit: $60.36
User PnL: -$11.06

United States position

Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.88
Potential profit: $38.88
User PnL: -$32.61

New York Mets position

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.48
Potential profit: $38.48
User PnL: -$31.99

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.15
Potential profit: $36.15
User PnL: -$28.71

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.96
Potential profit: $28.96
User PnL: -$23.75

No position

Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.9
Potential profit: $27.9
User PnL: -$6.14

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.03
Potential profit: $24.03
User PnL: -$11.23

No position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.73
Potential profit: $19.73
User PnL: -$3.55

No position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.5
Potential profit: $19.5
User PnL: -$16.09

No position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.38
Potential profit: $19.38
User PnL: -$16.09

Toronto Blue Jays position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.92
Potential profit: $18.92
User PnL: -$14.76

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $16.83
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.91
Potential profit: $17.91
User PnL: -$5.37

No position

Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.43
Potential profit: $16.43
User PnL: -$13.97

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.9
Potential profit: $12.9
User PnL: -$10.06

No position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $6.87
Potential payout: $11.45
Potential profit: $4.58
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$3.15

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$3.45

T1 position

LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.86
Potential profit: $10.86
User PnL: -$9.34

Yes position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.69
Potential profit: $9.69
User PnL: -$8.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.67

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.85

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.62

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.13

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.43

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.18

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.9

Casper Ruud position

Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.28

Karmine Corp position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.88

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.28

Adam Walton position

Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wu

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.26

St. Louis Cardinals position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.18

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.94

Yes position

Will CD Palestino win on 2026-05-15?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.58

Aeterna Esports position

LoL: TITANS vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.43

Yes position

Will El Ittihad SC El Iskandary win on 2026-05-13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Dplus KIA position

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99

No position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

No position

Israel closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.66

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 14% 8 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Yes 85% 7.36 shares
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

T1 86% 5.84 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.9% 11.03 shares
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

T1 86% 5.02 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.1% 20 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.6% 7 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.3% 20 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?

No 85% 9.46 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.7% 6 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.2% 9 shares
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

United States 84% 9.58 shares