No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Current value
- $27.62K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $2.39K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $12.62K
Polymarket Trader
CastleRock
0xfb6417f13b14a97188aeda97242d909ec58eeb56
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.45K
- Realized PnL
- $10.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $2.39K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $27.62K
- Multiplier
- 12.58x
- User PnL
- -$12.62K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $2.41K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $905
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $951.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $48.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $483.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $16.75
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $475.39
- Potential payout
- $499.62
- Potential profit
- $24.23
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $223.32
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $185.01
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $40.24
- Potential payout
- $49.98
- Potential profit
- $9.75
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $13.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $997.58
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $904.06
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $553.24
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $501.52
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $474.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430.66
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $421.79
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.24
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.96
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.52
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.4
No position
Will Solana hit $210 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190
No position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.27
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.12
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.18
No position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.56
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.19
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.13
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No 96.7% 2,500 shares
- Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?No 95.7% 104.44 shares
- Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?No 95.6% 104.57 shares
- Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?No 95.7% 104.44 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 94% 1,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 95% 1,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 96.2% 500 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.9% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 93% 500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 96.4% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 96.4% 1,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.7% 10,451.8 shares