No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.73K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $270
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $30
Polymarket Trader
cheng
0xfb666a1656a3c9e0bb2cad14252284c7bb5b5e13
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.59K
- Realized PnL
- $6K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.57K
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $165
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $84.36
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $146.03
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $75.88
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $522.27
- Potential payout
- $577.09
- Potential profit
- $54.82
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $11.27
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $412.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $87.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $397.45
- Potential payout
- $499.94
- Potential profit
- $102.49
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Current value
- $376.87
- Potential payout
- $423.21
- Potential profit
- $46.34
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $29.39
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $374
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $26
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $14
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $214
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $186
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $246
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $154
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $247.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $52.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $298.05
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- User PnL
- $36.05
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$240
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $292.95
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $7.05
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $74.55
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $297.14
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- User PnL
- $16.95
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $181.01
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $19
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $13
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $200.01
- User PnL
- -$158
No position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $185
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$148
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $199.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $19.5
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $192.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $7.1
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $12.9
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $169
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $31
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $185
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $107
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $93
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $579.56
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $571.46
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $551.87
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $490.47
No position
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $442.73
No position
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332.68
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.66
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.96
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.81
EDward Gaming position
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.99
No position
Will Kanye tweet again by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.24
Yes position
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-09?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.64
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.73
LNG Esports position
LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.35
No position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.29
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.13
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.25
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $113.9
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?No 96.8% 50 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 1.2% 99.99 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 52% 100 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 4.4% 160 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 12.4% 50 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 90% 9.85 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 77% 200 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 70% 15 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 43.6% 500 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 45.7% 100 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 18.5% 100 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 95% 200 shares