rsabahor

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $687.12
Potential profit: $686.77
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14.77

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $26.66
Potential payout: $561.32
Potential profit: $534.66
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: $11.36

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $7.38
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $468.81
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$2.62

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $4.81
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $379.81
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $20.82
Potential payout: $362.06
Potential profit: $341.24
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$7.49

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $18.03
Potential payout: $343.36
Potential profit: $325.33
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $26.94
Potential payout: $334.69
Potential profit: $307.75
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: $6.57

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $310.88
Potential profit: $310.72
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15.39

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $42.81
Potential payout: $306.87
Potential profit: $264.06
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: $2.91

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $3.97
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $290.15
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $25.91
Potential payout: $280.14
Potential profit: $254.23
Multiplier: 10.81x
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $274.86
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$2.08

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $15.06
Potential payout: $235.38
Potential profit: $220.32
Multiplier: 15.63x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $208.04
Potential profit: $207.83
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$27.57

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $11.69
Potential payout: $205
Potential profit: $193.32
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: -$4.71

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $46.24
Potential payout: $201.47
Potential profit: $155.24
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $15.66

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $36.19
Potential payout: $187.5
Potential profit: $151.31
Multiplier: 5.18x
User PnL: $6.19

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $185.18
Potential profit: $184.53
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$8.98

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $7.31
Potential payout: $185.18
Potential profit: $177.87
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$2.69

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $10.91
Potential payout: $181.81
Potential profit: $170.9
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $9.18
Potential payout: $181.81
Potential profit: $172.63
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $3.4
Potential payout: $174.37
Potential profit: $170.97
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $42.58
Potential payout: $173.8
Potential profit: $131.22
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $160.42
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: $1.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $981.34

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $669.57

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $510.04

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $465.45

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405.92

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 21?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.32

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.99

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 4, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330.92

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.95

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.02

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 24, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.81

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 5, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.87

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.5

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.39

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.17

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.94

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.72

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.1

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 22?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.33

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.59

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.67

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.52

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?