Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Current value
- $150.04
- Potential payout
- $361.1
- Potential profit
- $211.06
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$30.51
Polymarket Trader
mhdks
0xfb7f783d06f5f65e90b5937737a7be343db3a996
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $515
- Realized PnL
- $68.41
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $211.06
- Potential payout
- $361.1
- Potential profit
- $150.04
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $30.51
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $153.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $46.1
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$22.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Raptors
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.99
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
Yes position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Kraken IPO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 98.1% 360 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes 3.8% 700 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?No 99.7% 200 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 99.3% 90 shares
- Kraken IPO in 2025?No 99.4% 100 shares
- Will Base launch a token in 2025?No 98.7% 18 shares
- No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No 92% 400 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes 1% 1,642 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No 97.2% 10 shares
- Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?No 79% 59.67 shares