No position
North Korea missile launch by November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
juliepolly
0xfb874bdd878fd7b81b7812e178f75765a1f83ede
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $1.35
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes 9% 9.09 shares
- Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Yes 65% 6.12 shares
- Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?No 75.1% 28.71 shares
- Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?No 69.7% 28.71 shares
- Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Yes 49% 6.12 shares
- North Korea missile launch by November 15?No 0.2% 1,013.07 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes 22% 9.09 shares