No position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $7.28K
- Potential payout
- $8.2K
- Potential profit
- $922.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $233.16
Polymarket Trader
winnings
0xfb9beff1dcb843392d30ba60a9eee41e64ba5112
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.22K
- Realized PnL
- $2.92K
- Win rate
- 61.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.94K
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $157.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $363.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $789.83
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $553.25
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.05
Yes position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.24
No position
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.24
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $106.32
No position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.05
Yes position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.75
Yes position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$17.6
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$139.39
No position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$171.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No 86.1% 21.81 shares
- Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes 13.6% 23 shares
- Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes 16.4% 23 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes 75% 7.13 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes 71.7% 48.41 shares
- Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No 89.2% 400 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes 7.1% 215 shares
- Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No 89.9% 6.67 shares
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes 13.2% 200 shares
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes 22% 200 shares
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No 76% 2.63 shares
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No 76% 102.9 shares