Polymarket Trader

0xfBa7EC8ED53d45Fb47190b706a93Ff4300764782-1768823808492

0xfba7ec8ed53d45fb47190b706a93ff4300764782

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $113.46
Realized PnL: $1.92K
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $12.98
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$186.97

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $785.67
Potential profit: $785.67
User PnL: -$70.71

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $96.5
Potential payout: $603.12
Potential profit: $506.62
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$43.5

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3.99
Potential payout: $531.49
Potential profit: $527.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $470.31
Potential profit: $470.31
User PnL: -$32.92

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $411.12
Potential profit: $411.12
User PnL: -$80

No position

Will Trump say "Queen" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $364.5
Potential profit: $364.5
User PnL: -$43.74

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $291.23
Potential profit: $291.23
User PnL: -$107.46

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.32
Potential profit: $90.32
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $89.29
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $697

Yes position

Exact Score: Austria 3 - 1 Jordan?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.45

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.96

Yes position

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Afghanistan" during Monday news conference?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump say "Power" or "Strength" during Monday news conference?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$6.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?

No 29% 275.88 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?

No 18.3% 327.24 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 11% 272.73 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Yes 7% 470.31 shares
Exact Score: Austria 3 - 1 Jordan?

Yes 99.9% 220.95 shares
Exact Score: Austria 3 - 1 Jordan?

Yes 23% 195.96 shares
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 22% 222.22 shares
Exact Score: Austria 3 - 1 Jordan?

Yes 24% 25 shares
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan?

Yes 56% 89.29 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 4.4% 90.91 shares
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?

Yes 27% 55.56 shares
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?

Yes 25% 200 shares