Polymarket Trader

compott

0xfbb11da1c205aa234f84d2a7e09b230ca9dcbd66

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $184.92
Realized PnL: $231.64
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 15.2%
Current value: $8.36
Potential payout: $55.21
Potential profit: $46.85
Multiplier: 6.60x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $13.86
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $4.14
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$0.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.2
Potential profit: $17.2
User PnL: -$14.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.6
Potential profit: $16.6
User PnL: -$14.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $16.24
Potential payout: $16.25
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $15.88
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15.99
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $15.87
Potential payout: $15.99
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $1.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $15.55
Potential payout: $15.6
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.99
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C or higher on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $14.75
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C or below on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $14.25
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.75
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or below on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$14.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 78°F or higher on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $14.87
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.88
Potential profit: $13.88
User PnL: -$9.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $7.84
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.02
Potential profit: $7.02
User PnL: -$5.74

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $6.66
Potential payout: $6.81
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C or higher on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C or higher on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.26
Potential profit: $4.26
User PnL: -$1.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.18
Potential profit: $3.18
User PnL: -$1.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$1.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.49

Under position

Green Bay Phoenix vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 148.5

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.34

Islanders position

Panthers vs. Islanders

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.24

No position

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.82

Montana State Bobcats position

Spread: Montana State Bobcats (-2.5)

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.76

Sabres position

Sabres vs. Devils

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.46

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C or below on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 94°F or higher on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Heroic position

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.96

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Down 69% 2 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 16.5% 55.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Up 33% 4 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Down 70% 2.03 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C or below on June 25?

No 95% 1.52 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on June 25?

No 97% 6.81 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 80% 11.12 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 60% 11.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Down 72% 2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Down 59% 2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Up 79% 2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C or higher on June 25?

No 98% 15 shares