Polymarket Trader

MasterGu1996

0xfbb4e2c8532635b41fa0caf7868778a779442494

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $443.09
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $21.49
Potential payout: $186.87
Potential profit: $165.38
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $19.09
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $162.73
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $20.08
Potential payout: $163.93
Potential profit: $143.85
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $122.86
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $19.29
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $123.57
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $19.33
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $114
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.67

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $21.67
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $89.44
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $20.05
Potential payout: $100.5
Potential profit: $80.45
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $19.85
Potential payout: $98.04
Potential profit: $78.19
Multiplier: 4.94x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $19.94
Potential payout: $97.56
Potential profit: $77.62
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $21.15
Potential payout: $92.17
Potential profit: $71.01
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.2%
Current value: $19.37
Potential payout: $83.68
Potential profit: $64.31
Multiplier: 4.32x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $19.58
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $63.75
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $18.78
Potential payout: $81.64
Potential profit: $62.86
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $18.8
Potential payout: $68.37
Potential profit: $49.57
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $17
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $49.67
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $16.05
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $36.58
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$3.95

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $19.74
Potential payout: $51.28
Potential profit: $31.54
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $19.77
Potential payout: $46.51
Potential profit: $26.74
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $25.45
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $20.23
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $25.23
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $18.44
Potential payout: $44.44
Potential profit: $26
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $11.8
Potential payout: $42.92
Potential profit: $31.11
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $40.9
Potential profit: $39.33
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$18.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 18% 111.11 shares
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 86% 23.26 shares
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

No 87% 11.49 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

No 88% 22.73 shares
Kash Patel out by December 31?

Yes 45% 44.44 shares
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Yes 24.5% 81.64 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 14% 142.86 shares
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Yes 29.3% 68.37 shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 20.4% 98.04 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 12.2% 163.93 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 10.7% 186.87 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 48.9% 40.9 shares