Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?
Ends Aug 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
Jinbu
0xfbc878b1e2de21ff13d0d1bb58b7ffca91f0f784
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$17.18
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.09
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.26
Yes position
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?No 2.7% 35.71 shares
- Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?No 2.8% 35.71 shares
- Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?Yes 0.4% 41.66 shares
- Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?Yes 28% 35.71 shares
- Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?Yes 98.9% 10.2 shares
- Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?Yes 2.4% 41.67 shares
- Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?Yes 49% 10.2 shares
- Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?Yes 6.9% 43.48 shares
- Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes 1.1% 454.55 shares
- Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?Yes 3.3% 121.21 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes 91% 5.49 shares
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?Yes 5.2% 193.08 shares