Polymarket Trader

phoenix7550536

0xfbd526a32b9cb38b65597c3d1d9347b544c3e4f3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $457.91
Realized PnL: -$628.47
Win rate: 52.6%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $190.18
Potential payout: $481.46
Potential profit: $291.28
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $90.18

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 87.7%
Current value: $168.17
Potential payout: $191.86
Potential profit: $23.69
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $99.57
Potential payout: $116.45
Potential profit: $16.89
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.7

No position

Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.83

No position

Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.72

Canadiens position

Canadiens vs. Sabres

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

No position

Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.34

San Francisco Giants position

San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.89

No position

Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.52

No position

Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.12

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$151.8

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$178.26

No position

Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$300

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 70% 142.86 shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?

No 87% 117.64 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 70% 254.66 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 69% 179.94 shares
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Yes 71% 125.35 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 32% 286.42 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 85% 286.42 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 64% 244.33 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 67% 149.25 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 88.6% 191.86 shares
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers

San Francisco Giants 91% 109.89 shares
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 98.9% 101.11 shares