Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $163.8
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $46.2
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $78.82
Polymarket Trader
cassians
0xfbd61f5c4cc7777af6acf5a0cf2b90457ffdc18b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $368.56
- Realized PnL
- $91.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $105.3
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $74.7
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$15.3
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $99.46
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- User PnL
- $8.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $30.1
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.42
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.7
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $11.07
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 98.2% 43.76 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 98% 147.83 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 98% 100 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 98.1% 356.01 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 98% 11 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 98% 286.61 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 98% 115 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 98% 1.1 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 98% 10.19 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 98% 10.19 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 98% 10.19 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 98% 10.19 shares