Yes position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.59K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- User PnL
- -$1.44K
Polymarket Trader
chromatose
0xfbdae62258d92a290e556364c1479aff5bda4fae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.95K
- Realized PnL
- $5.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $1.31K
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $681.7
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $262.14
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$94.95
No position
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $423.35
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $9.35
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Colorado governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $76.15
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $22.7
Yes position
Will Trump say "Roof" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?
Ends Sep 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $856.2
- Potential profit
- $856.2
- User PnL
- -$310.22
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200.07
- Potential profit
- $199.97
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.12
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200.05
- Potential profit
- $199.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$25.41
Yes position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $199.8
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $105.8
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.9
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$17.9
Yes position
Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 11?
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers during MAFIATHON 3?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $894.25
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $584.41
Yes position
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $577.25
No position
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $505.03
Yes position
Greta Thunberg arrested by October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.03
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.48
Yes position
Will Eric Adams drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.09
Yes position
Will Israel not raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30 ET?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.55
No position
OpenAI browser by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.21
Yes position
Will Powell say "Median" during September press conference?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.44
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: September
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.59
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.05
No position
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $109.41
No position
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.13
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.67
No position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.76
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.35
No position
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.94
No position
TikTok sale announced by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.5
No position
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.01
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.45
Yes position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.06
No position
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 5?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes 17.2% 371.37 shares
- LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)T1 36% 336.53 shares
- LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)T1 78% 641.03 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?No 36.2% 635 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes 32% 100 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on October 21?Yes 54.6% 448.65 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on October 21?Yes 49.9% 705.56 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on October 21?Yes 50% 400.3 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on October 21?Yes 52.1% 729.24 shares
- Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?No 86.8% 301.94 shares
- Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 75% 133.33 shares
- Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?Yes 96.2% 351.29 shares