Polymarket Trader

germantony123

0xfc007e15e0da73525fd0d8e8e425df14a0820be0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $424.45K
Realized PnL: $4.66K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $204.23K
Potential payout: $208.93K
Potential profit: $4.7K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$707.03

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $9.23K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $40.78K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $385.1

No position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $24.41K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $587.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $12.5

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $23.79K
Potential payout: $23.9K
Potential profit: $107.55
User PnL: $81.91

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $22.66K
Potential payout: $22.95K
Potential profit: $298.41
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.41K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $21.15K
Potential payout: $22.58K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $18.47

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $19.95K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: $10.02

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $15.7K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $4.3K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$700

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $19.67K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $330
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $11.3K
Potential profit: $9.75K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$39.55

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $5.29K
Potential payout: $10.47K
Potential profit: $5.18K
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$648.13

No position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $9.94K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $7.87K
Potential payout: $7.99K
Potential profit: $115.79
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $23.48

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$6.02K

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $5.9K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $102
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $252

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $4.34K
Potential payout: $5.14K
Potential profit: $796.77
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $118.84

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $5.05K
Potential payout: $5.07K
Potential profit: $22.84
User PnL: $7.61

No position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $4.8K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $197.5
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $47.5

No position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $4.72K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $282.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $27.5

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $4.96K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: $35

No position

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $3.26K
Potential payout: $3.27K
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: $28.38

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $2.43K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $66.25
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 61.1%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $878.05
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$747.11

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.17K
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $1.09
User PnL: $90.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1K

No position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $150

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.99

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.74

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.29

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.31

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: $43.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.91

No position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.37

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Learner Tien position

Halle Open: Max Schoenhaus vs Learner Tien

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Uzbekistan position

Spread: Colombia (-2.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Germany position

Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 53% 333.34 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 52% 15 shares
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5

Under 99% 10,220.23 shares
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5

Under 98.8% 191 shares
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5

Under 98% 423.04 shares
Spread: Colombia (-2.5)

Uzbekistan 99% 134.94 shares
Spread: Colombia (-3.5)

Uzbekistan 99.9% 3,587.48 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

No 99.4% 3,031.01 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

No 99.4% 872 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

No 99.2% 35 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.8% 1,566.46 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 57% 2,271.17 shares