Yes position
Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $298.8
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$61.8
Polymarket Trader
kevinlqg
0xfc03f586a4c96b8179ace641a493cc9958bff66f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $97.89
- Realized PnL
- $16.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.6%
- Current value
- $61.89
- Potential payout
- $94.42
- Potential profit
- $32.53
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $49.62
No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $34.8
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $25.2
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82K
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35K
Yes position
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $978.1
Yes position
Will Catherine Trautmann be the next mayor of Strasbourg?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $955.2
Yes position
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $934.66
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $469.77
No position
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $396
No position
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.55
No position
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.39
Yes position
Will Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $213.39
Yes position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.52
No position
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $134
Yes position
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $118.89
Yes position
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97
No position
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $94.57
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.4
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82.33
No position
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.1
Yes position
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.4
No position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $54
Yes position
Will VOX (VOX) win 13-15 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 19.9% 77.82 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes 50% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?No 10% 100 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?No 2% 49.86 shares
- Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes 99% 531.61 shares
- Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes 99% 501.31 shares
- Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?No 93.1% 100 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No 10% 1,100 shares
- Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?No 4.8% 85.41 shares
- Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?No 8.1% 1,236.12 shares
- Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 58.6% 207.77 shares
- Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 62% 92.23 shares