market3

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.88K
Potential profit: $13.88K
User PnL: -$13.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09K
Potential profit: $9.09K
User PnL: -$9.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.8K
Potential profit: $5.8K
User PnL: -$18.99

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $851.06
Potential profit: $851.06
User PnL: -$7.37

No position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.67
Potential profit: $399.67
User PnL: -$110

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 23?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $277.77
Potential profit: $271.52
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$8.75

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195
Potential profit: $195
User PnL: -$13.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $102.64
Potential payout: $168.27
Potential profit: $65.62
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $52.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.96
Potential profit: $123.96
User PnL: -$69.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.46
Potential profit: $119.46
User PnL: -$5.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $96.28
Potential payout: $105.22
Potential profit: $8.94
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $51.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.27
Potential profit: $89.27
User PnL: -$49.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$49.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.11
Potential profit: $67.11
User PnL: -$49.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.55
Potential profit: $54.55
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.55
Potential profit: $54.55
User PnL: -$15.27

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.12
Potential profit: $44.12
User PnL: -$13.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.07
Potential profit: $29.07
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $5.71
Potential payout: $26.56
Potential profit: $20.85
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $20.24
Potential profit: $20.15
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$7.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.29
Potential profit: $17.29
User PnL: -$11.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on June 22?