Polymarket Trader

mastershake666

0xfc18f897e8dde14e65744138f103d0e494bcd7c1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.29
Realized PnL: $53.22
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $11.29
Potential payout: $16.72
Potential profit: $5.43
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $6.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.48
Potential profit: $16.48
User PnL: -$12.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.9
Potential profit: $14.9
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.49
Potential profit: $10.49
User PnL: -$4.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.83
Potential profit: $4.83
User PnL: -$3.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $1.54
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Norway position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Epstein" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Golden Dome" this week? (March 1)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 29.9% 16.72 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Norway 99.9% 12.82 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Norway 93% 2.95 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Norway 77% 3.28 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Norway 76% 13.16 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 89% 10.23 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 44% 10.23 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 37% 13.87 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 49% 13.88 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 11.94 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 67% 11.94 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 8.57 shares