Polymarket Trader

0xFc2F4f50ce2F6045d35558A5E2D8d4b2aC6610c7-1769097007451

0xfc2f4f50ce2f6045d35558a5e2d8d4b2ac6610c7

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $18.22K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $460.85K
Potential profit: $460.85K
User PnL: -$20.65K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400.24K
Potential profit: $400.24K
User PnL: -$7.56K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $286.61K
Potential profit: $286.61K
User PnL: -$5.2K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $236.79K
Potential profit: $236.79K
User PnL: -$8.48K

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.12K
Potential profit: $190.12K
User PnL: -$11.84K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.41K
Potential profit: $179.41K
User PnL: -$42.12K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.43K
Potential profit: $176.43K
User PnL: -$7.34K

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.08K
Potential profit: $164.08K
User PnL: -$16.59K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158K
Potential profit: $158K
User PnL: -$13.15K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 21, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.13K
Potential profit: $153.13K
User PnL: -$2.14K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $823.83
Potential payout: $149.79K
Potential profit: $148.96K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$359.64

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 20, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.97K
Potential profit: $142.97K
User PnL: -$2.14K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.33K
Potential profit: $141.33K
User PnL: -$6.27K

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.07K
Potential profit: $141.07K
User PnL: -$2.51K

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $17.22K
Potential payout: $132.43K
Potential profit: $115.22K
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $5.39K

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.15K
Potential profit: $131.15K
User PnL: -$4.84K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.91K
Potential profit: $121.91K
User PnL: -$2.45K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $182.04
Potential payout: $121.36K
Potential profit: $121.18K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5.88K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.17K
Potential profit: $117.17K
User PnL: -$723.32

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.06K
Potential profit: $117.06K
User PnL: -$11.32K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.19K
Potential profit: $112.19K
User PnL: -$3.81K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 27, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.72K
Potential profit: $110.72K
User PnL: -$1.27K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.05K
Potential profit: $103.05K
User PnL: -$1.19K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.05K
Potential profit: $101.05K
User PnL: -$1.38K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 24.1% 5,000 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 34% 558.71 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 13.4% 59.8 shares
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 15.5% 1,269.17 shares
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 17% 100.8 shares
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 22% 1,104.73 shares
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 39.8% 2,903.44 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 18.4% 6.05 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?

Yes 90.8% 100 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

Yes 40% 958.95 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 18.5% 273.57 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 18.6% 225.2 shares