Polymarket Trader

Lpuss

0xfc51627cc66abf4600196d8071f69bc26b339aa4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $260.14
Realized PnL: $33.73K
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.62K
Potential profit: $20.62K
User PnL: -$5.5K

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.1K
Potential profit: $10.1K
User PnL: -$1.3K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.01K
Potential profit: $10.01K
User PnL: -$3.1K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.41K
Potential profit: $4.41K
User PnL: -$600

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $260.14
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.74K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.41K

Yes position

Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.58K
Potential profit: $2.58K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $2.11K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.4K

Yes position

Maduro mugshot released by January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $1.71K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.46K
User PnL: -$900

Yes position

Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $370.37
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.29K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $562.53

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.64

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$296.34

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.72K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Yes 1.6% 4,816.88 shares
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Yes 67% 2,184.18 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Yes 99.8% 39,571.86 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 12.9% 10,095.87 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Yes 30% 13,333.33 shares
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 615.1 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?

Yes 9.5% 2,111.77 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 61.6% 1,460.44 shares
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Yes 31% 10,008.06 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Yes 37.4% 4,816.88 shares
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Yes 62.8% 3,182.86 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 41.7% 4,002.22 shares