Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.34K
- Potential profit
- $16.34K
- User PnL
- -$2.13K
Polymarket Trader
lisra
0xfc7612db87dc5d3b234fb673eda2858f9de00ad0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.38K
- Realized PnL
- $25.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $7.38K
- Potential payout
- $7.45K
- Potential profit
- $70.82
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $2.33K
- Potential payout
- $2.37K
- Potential profit
- $41.43
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $136.17
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- User PnL
- -$1.16K
No position
Grok 4.4 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $82.93
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $219.09
No position
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $723.78
- Potential payout
- $757.88
- Potential profit
- $34.1
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $36.5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $452.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $47.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $31.5
No position
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $393.54
- Potential payout
- $420.9
- Potential profit
- $27.36
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $35.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.94K
Yes position
Grok 4.20 released by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2K
No position
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
No position
Grok 4.20 released by January 9?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Yes position
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $949.6
No position
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $814.75
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $584.5
No position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $552.56
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.23
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335.64
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.34
No position
Grok 4.20 released by February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.41
No position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.06
Yes position
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.44
No position
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.01
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.99
No position
Grok 4.4 released by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.05
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.67
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $24.69
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.53
No position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.16
No position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.74
No position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?Yes 91% 14 shares
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?Yes 91% 300 shares
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026?Yes 85% 10 shares
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026?Yes 70.4% 461.2 shares
- Grok 4.4 released by June 15?No 98.4% 401 shares
- Grok 4.4 released by June 15?No 98.9% 119.6 shares
- Grok 4.4 released by June 15?No 99.6% 91.53 shares
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?Yes 89% 216.58 shares
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026?Yes 69% 20 shares
- Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?No 98.3% 79.81 shares
- Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?No 98.4% 151.12 shares
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026?Yes 69% 130 shares