Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.3
- Potential profit
- $5.3
- User PnL
- -$5.19
Polymarket Trader
0xfc76...4fca
0xfc7633840145a9fd815542c415c7455f4a294fca
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $45.01
- Realized PnL
- $3.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $4.4
- Multiplier
- 7.72x
- User PnL
- -$4.39
No position
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Current value
- $4.53
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $5.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $5.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
N
No position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $4.98
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on December 3?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Jeannette Jara win between 20% and 24% of votes in the first round?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will no qualifying event occur on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Jara win by at least 15%?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will France win Miss Universe 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No 99.5% 5.02 shares
- Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be between 75% and 77.5%?No 98.9% 5.03 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?No 98.6% 4.98 shares
- Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 8 million views on day 1?No 99.8% 4.94 shares
- Will "Alignment" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No 99.9% 5.04 shares
- Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 99.9% 5.04 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes 97.8% 5.15 shares
- Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No 99.8% 5.04 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No 98.4% 5.09 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No 99.9% 5.01 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?No 99.8% 5.01 shares
- Will PPI YoY be below 3.0% in May?No 99.9% 5.01 shares