No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.56
Polymarket Trader
CapMachine
0xfc7a9e26dbc8626ab39ef6283714829f0edde98f
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $197.03
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 0
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.08
Yes position
More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.35
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.29
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.56
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.08
Yes position
More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.35
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.29
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.27
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.96
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.11
No position
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.99
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Yes position
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
No position
French election called by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
Yes position
Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Will Trump say "Little Rocket Man" in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
Will Oracle say "Sovereign" during earnings call?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes 14% 7.14 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes 23% 4.35 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes 24% 12.5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Yes 3.9% 25.64 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Yes 5.2% 58.13 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes 12% 25 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No 9% 55.56 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No 21% 4.76 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No 9% 11.11 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No 3.9% 25.64 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No 3.9% 25.92 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No 1.8% 55.95 shares